Well lets put it like this:

30 million dollars for Jake long-Chris Long-Matt Ryan-Glenn Dorsey.To me none of these players are worth the money with the exception of Darren Mcfadden and we do not need him unless we intend on tradeing Ronnie and Ricky Williams which is not a bad idea considering Ronnie Browns injury.With that being said we are set at WR'S RB'S QB'S LB' CB'S AND S'S.SO LET us go ahead and make the trade with Dallas and take their 22 and 28 pick and select 2 of the best offensive linemen we can get our hands on in the first and then take QB Joe Flacco LB Dan CONNOR IN THE SECOND.But to blow 30 million dollars on a player that does not put points on the board to me is much to high of a price to pay.

Trade The First pick

No footballs, no babies.

Obviously, the key would be to identify the right players later on. Much easier said than done. Millions at stake. Futures on the line. A lot of pressure. And through it all, whatever they do they can't trade down only to select a bust or two. Definitely high risk and high reward. But the winning combination of players are out there...

We just have to predict the future. That's all. Simple.

As simple as that. No? And, oh, betting millions of dollars on our predictions.

What?

That pretty much encapsulates the magic and the suspense of the NFL Draft. It is betting on the future. First, predicting the future. And then placing bets on the investment. A price based on the future, though. How sound is that? It's like market futures and commodities. Stocks, bonds. Millions and millions of dollars. One thing is for sure...it sure makes for interesting drama. Keeps us coming back for more.

Back to the question whether they should trade the first pick.

Now, how much will they stand to bet that those extra picks they acquire would be worth more than giving up that first pick? Who knows? The gauge of a trade when close would be the team that ended up with the best player won. Now, would two or three good but not great players add up to a superstar? What if you can get three starters compared to just one good player? Would it be worth it? Does anyone really know? Nope.

Also, the only thing that matters is how the organization evaluates and identifies talent. That is the biggest determining factor. Again, the key would be to identify the right players later on.

The question could be re-stated like this: "If you knew that you could get three high caliber players instead of one, at what price would you question your certainty about your certainty and take the safer option"?

That, my friends, is the question. Millions and millions are at stake. There is no "do over". No second chances. No maybes, either. Only yes or no. Futures on the line. What's your answer? Would you trade the first pick?

If the answer is the unsafe route then you'd answer something like this, "No footballs, no babies".

The suspense and intrigue continue !!

For the record, I would trade the first pick but not that much lower. Only to number three, four, five overall. I believe that if you are willing to trade the first overall pick down to the 22nd overall that you'd be better off by trading a couple of spots down then announcing that you're willing to take less value than normal for trade downs and keep doing it until you reach the area of 22nd. One thing to keep in mind is that beyond pick 15 is when trades are more likely to occur since the pay range lowers for a rookie contract. Trading down to three, four, five then past 15 and then to around 22 would net much more than just what a 22 and 28 picks overall represent. Even if you are asking for less just to strike a deal. Because you go into it as just accumulating picks. If you trade down, then trade down. But do it all the way.

In that way there would be maximum value. I would not trade down any other way, though. I believe passing on a player like Jake Long is only worth it if you get the maximum value. If not? Pick Jake Long.

Yes. Trade the first pick. But do it all the way.

No footballs, no babies.

dolphingenious

Parcells and Quarterbacks

Trade The First pick

Trade The First pick

Trade The First pick